JAKARTA, Feb 9 — Indonesian presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto is projected to pip the 50 per cent threshold needed to win the February 14 election in a single round, the latest opinion poll showed on Friday.
Of the 1,200 people surveyed by pollster Indikator Politik Indonesia between January 28 and February 4, 51.8 per cent said they would vote for Prabowo’s ticket, while 24.1 per cent and 19.6 per cent would vote for rivals Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo respectively.
This election marks the third presidential run for Prabowo, a controversial ex-soldier who was defeated by outgoing President Joko Widodo in 2014 and 2019. About 205 million people are registered to vote.
While most of Indonesia’s most-watched surveys have consistently shown Prabowo with a solid lead over rivals, Friday’s poll is the first in which he is projected to get more than 50 per cent of votes.
A run-off will be held in June if no candidate gets more than 50 per cent of votes.
“Conservatively, there is a chance of a run-off. But given the 51.8 per cent and the upward trend for Prabowo’s ticket, I can say the probability of one round has risen…compared to previous surveys,” said Indikator researcher Burhanuddin Muhtadi.
About 4.5 per cent of those surveyed were undecided. The margin of error of the survey was about 2.9 per cent.
— Reuters
